Pre-tourney Rankings
Michigan St.
Big Ten
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.3#10
Expected Predictive Rating+16.0#14
Pace67.1#189
Improvement-1.3#234

Offense
Total Offense+9.2#12
Improvement+1.8#90

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#26
Improvement-3.1#311
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.7% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 5.7% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 89.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round85.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen56.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight28.8% n/a n/a
Final Four14.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game7.1% n/a n/a
National Champion3.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 315   McNeese St. W 98-56 99%     1 - 0 +29.1 +5.7 +17.8
  Nov 12, 2013 19   Kentucky W 78-74 58%     2 - 0 +18.3 +10.6 +7.6
  Nov 15, 2013 134   Columbia W 62-53 93%     3 - 0 +8.4 -2.5 +12.1
  Nov 18, 2013 110   Portland W 82-67 91%     4 - 0 +16.1 +7.5 +8.3
  Nov 22, 2013 157   Virginia Tech W 96-77 92%     5 - 0 +19.6 +20.3 -1.9
  Nov 23, 2013 27   Oklahoma W 87-76 62%     6 - 0 +24.3 +6.9 +16.0
  Nov 29, 2013 211   Mount St. Mary's W 98-65 97%     7 - 0 +27.5 +15.0 +11.1
  Dec 04, 2013 28   North Carolina L 65-79 71%     7 - 1 -3.6 -5.8 +3.2
  Dec 14, 2013 185   Oakland W 67-63 94%     8 - 1 +2.7 -10.6 +13.3
  Dec 17, 2013 269   North Florida W 78-48 98%     9 - 1 +21.4 -0.4 +21.7
  Dec 21, 2013 38   @ Texas W 92-78 60%     10 - 1 +27.6 +18.6 +7.6
  Dec 28, 2013 325   New Orleans W 101-48 99%     11 - 1 +38.4 +22.0 +16.7
  Dec 31, 2013 76   @ Penn St. W 79-63 74%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +25.6 +10.7 +15.0
  Jan 04, 2014 58   @ Indiana W 73-56 67%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +28.6 +13.6 +16.3
  Jan 07, 2014 18   Ohio St. W 72-68 OT 67%     14 - 1 3 - 0 +15.6 +4.6 +10.8
  Jan 11, 2014 53   Minnesota W 87-75 OT 82%     15 - 1 4 - 0 +18.6 +11.9 +6.1
  Jan 15, 2014 116   @ Northwestern W 54-40 82%     16 - 1 5 - 0 +20.4 +4.4 +19.5
  Jan 18, 2014 59   @ Illinois W 78-62 68%     17 - 1 6 - 0 +27.5 +17.8 +10.4
  Jan 21, 2014 58   Indiana W 71-66 83%     18 - 1 7 - 0 +11.0 +3.7 +7.4
  Jan 25, 2014 13   Michigan L 75-80 64%     18 - 2 7 - 1 +7.5 +9.6 -2.5
  Jan 28, 2014 20   @ Iowa W 71-69 OT 47%     19 - 2 8 - 1 +19.0 +3.5 +15.6
  Feb 01, 2014 56   Georgetown L 60-64 75%     19 - 3 +5.3 -4.7 +9.7
  Feb 06, 2014 76   Penn St. W 82-67 87%     20 - 3 9 - 1 +19.0 +14.1 +5.6
  Feb 09, 2014 12   @ Wisconsin L 58-60 42%     20 - 4 9 - 2 +16.4 -4.1 +20.4
  Feb 13, 2014 116   Northwestern W 85-70 92%     21 - 4 10 - 2 +15.8 +31.5 -13.6
  Feb 16, 2014 49   Nebraska L 51-60 81%     21 - 5 10 - 3 -2.0 -7.5 +3.9
  Feb 20, 2014 84   @ Purdue W 94-79 76%     22 - 5 11 - 3 +24.0 +28.9 -4.5
  Feb 23, 2014 13   @ Michigan L 70-79 43%     22 - 6 11 - 4 +9.1 +9.5 -1.5
  Mar 01, 2014 59   Illinois L 46-53 83%     22 - 7 11 - 5 -1.0 -8.6 +5.8
  Mar 06, 2014 20   Iowa W 86-76 68%     23 - 7 12 - 5 +21.4 +13.6 +7.6
  Mar 09, 2014 18   @ Ohio St. L 67-69 46%     23 - 8 12 - 6 +15.2 +10.0 +5.1
  Mar 14, 2014 116   Northwestern W 67-51 88%     24 - 8 +19.6 +16.1 +6.7
  Mar 15, 2014 12   Wisconsin W 83-75 53%     25 - 8 +23.6 +22.0 +2.3
  Mar 16, 2014 13   Michigan W 69-55 54%     26 - 8 +29.3 +10.7 +21.0
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.7 0.7 5.0 32.1 51.5 10.2 0.5 0.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3.7 0.7 5.0 32.1 51.5 10.2 0.5 0.0